Monday, January 14, 2013

Poll puts PNM ahead in THA election; undecided number large

An opinion poll published Monday in the Guardian newspaper suggests that the People’s National Movement (PNM) will win a landslide in next Monday's Tobago House of Assembly (THA) election, taking 11 of the 12 seats. 

If this turns out to be true, it would be a repeat of the PNM position in the 2005 THA election.

The paper said the telephone survey of 478 voters was conducted from January 7 to 9. It has a margin of error of 4.4 per cent.

The survey states that 46 per cent of interviewees said they would voter, while 18 per cent favour the TOP. However a significant number - 36 per cent of electors - had no preference. Some voters chose The Platform of Truth, “but the total support did not register above statistically significant level,” the pollsters said.

On issues, the poll suggests that internal self government is the most important in the election. Another is the failure of the THA to complete projects (22 per cent were concerned about the issue) and corruption, with 19 per cent saying it is important.

The Guardian said the pollsters reported that 29 per cent of interviewees also listed “a myriad of other issues such as general economic development, road repair and land and law reform as also being important.”

The pollsters also said voters find TOP leader Ashworth Jack unsuitable because of his closeness to the central government. They believe that Jack is likely to lose his seat.

JYOTI understands that polls commissioned by the PNM and TOP show a much closer race with the result in favour of the party that did the survey. 

Another independent survey suggests that the principal issue is not self government but the TOP's close connection with the People's Partnership administration. That poll also said voters are not satisfied with Jack's explanation about the house he built.

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Jai & Sero

Jai & Sero

Our family at home in Toronto 2008

Our family at home in Toronto 2008
Amit, Heather, Fuzz, Aj, Jiv, Shiva, Rampa, Sero, Jai