Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Electoral college map favours Obama victory in Tuesday's US election

CBS photo
JYOTI has not been writing about the presidential election in the USA, mainly because there is such a flood of information and opinion we thought we would focus on T&T affairs as we have been doing all along.

But let's face it. Whatever happens Tuesday in the United States would affect all of us in this planet, so we thought we should note what is happening.

And what is happening is that the real experts are saying that Barack Obama will win. FOX would disagree with that and the Republicans are still hoping their man would pull it off but from a lot of what we are reading it looks like the moving truck won't be pulling up outside the White House for another four years. 

The experts have based their opinion not on the popular vote, but on the number of electoral votes each candidate is likely to get. In order to become president the candidate must get 270 electoral college votes.

And so far Obama is ahead.

According to reports from RealClearPolitics on Sunday, Obama has a 10-point lead with 201 electoral votes compared to Romney with 191 votes.

The polling analysis shows 11 toss-up states with a total of 146 electoral votes remaining. Here is how it breaks down in these states:

Romney is leading in Florida (29 votes), North Carolina (15) and Virginia (13). If Romney gets all all from those three states he would still be short by 12 votes. On the other hand, Obama is leading in eight states with a total of 89. He needs 69 to win based on the projection of 201 confirmed votes so far.

The New York Times is even more optimistic about Obama's victory, giving him 243 electoral votes with Romney at 206. The toss up states in this analysis are:
Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire and Florida. 
If you extrapolate from this Obama wins easily since he is behind only in Florida (29 votes) and Virginia (13 votes).

And the latest Electoral College (click to see map) from Rasmussen shows a slightly different picture, but like the others, Obama is still leading, with 237 Electoral votes and Romney with 206. 

JYOTI is behind Obama because we think that when you look at what Bush and the Republicans did to America and the world, Obama is the lesser of two evils.

A friend pointed out an interesting commentary on the election written by 
Timothy Bancroft-Hinchey for Pravda.Ru service. We have reproduced it unedited from the Pravda site. We think you would enjoy reading it.

The article is titled: Obama or Romney?

A diplomat, or a wannabe "I'd really like to be President" type? An intelligent and articulate leader of a country and responsible and likeable partner in the international community, or a bumbling, fumbling non-professional amateur whose grasp of international politics is to claim Syria is Iran's ticket to the sea?

Did he actually say that? Yes, in other words... and he actually said a whole lot more.

Did he actually say that the most dangerous enemy of the United States of America is Russia? 

Then Mitt Romney is a remnant of the Bush regime, lock, stock and barrel, lined up with the Bush era cronies waiting to spring into action the second the election is finished - you know, the guys who left us all in this almighty mess, the guys who screwed up the economy big-time and left Barack Obama with a massive financial black hole to fill.

Despite inheriting a calamitous situation, and despite the fact that he has had four short years to do anything, Barack Obama has, in fact, achieved a great deal. 

In Social Security, and again, in spite of the tremendous financial restraints caused by the calamity inherited from the Bush regime, Obama signed legislation reducing the long-term deficit by 25 per cent.

Ending the illegal war in Iraq, as promised, has saved the US taxpayer billions, for before the American worker's hard-earned cash was wasted on murdering children, strafing civilian structures with military hardware, torturing detainees, urinating in their food, raping women, sodomising men, all of this the weird and wonderful political epitaph of the Republican Bush regime, the party which Romney represents, the party whose Bush-era cronies are all waiting to step into office. 

Why, rumour has it that McCain wants the State Department. And what about Romney's pledge to add 100 billion dollars to the Pentagon budget?

Anyone want World War Three? Or...

Or four more years, giving Barack Obama the time to continue his reforms and do what he pledged to do. 

He never promised to do it all in four years - everyone knows, especially with the situation he inherited from Romney's party, that such would be impossible - but for sure a second term will see all Americans benefit and will see America accepted further into the international fold, after eight years of Romney's party making the country synonymous with torture, rape, murder and sodomy.

Acceptable as that may be in the USA, elsewhere, it is purely Satanical. So how any Christian could vote Republican and keep a straight face, defies logic. Those people, as we saw in the Bush era, are evil.

In short, Romney represents the 1980s, Bush-style out-of-touch, do-all-to-please-the-cronies, look-after-the-elite, to-hell-with-the-people style of politics. Barack Obama, on the other hand, represents a new approach for the twenty-first century. We have seen four short years of what he does, confronted with Republican-era nightmares, and we like what we see.

Four more years towards a prosperous America and the American people in the heart of the international community!

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Jai & Sero

Jai & Sero

Our family at home in Toronto 2008

Our family at home in Toronto 2008
Amit, Heather, Fuzz, Aj, Jiv, Shiva, Rampa, Sero, Jai